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Binomial Probability Calculator

Binomial probability calculator

Fast exact or cumulative binomial probability checks.

InputsDistribution4 fieldsLive

Result

P(X = 3) = 0.1171875 (11.71875%)

E[X] = 5, Var(X) = 2.5, SD = 1.581139.

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Advanced options
Distribution review

PMF chart (distribution shape)

  • k=0
    0.0977%
  • k=1
    0.9766%
  • k=2
    4.3945%
  • k=3
    11.7188%
  • k=4
    20.5078%
  • k=5
    24.6094%
  • k=6
    20.5078%
  • k=7
    11.7188%
  • k=8
    4.3945%
  • k=9
    0.9766%
  • k=10
    0.0977%

PMF and CDF table

P(X = 3)

kP(X = k)P(X <= k)
00.00097656250.0009765625
10.0097656250.0107421875
20.04394531250.0546875
30.11718750.171875
40.2050781250.376953125
50.246093750.623046875
60.2050781250.828125
70.11718750.9453125
80.04394531250.9892578125
90.0097656250.9990234375
100.00097656251

Model assumptions

  • Trials are independent Bernoulli events.
  • Success probability p is constant across all trials.
  • k counts whole-number successes only (0 <= k <= n).
  • Displayed values are rounded; internal PMF/CDF uses exact binomial terms.
Formula
P(X=k) = C(n
k) p^k (1-p)^(n-k)

Symbol legend

Symbol Meaning Unit Copy
n Number of trials count
k Number of successes count
p Success probability per trial 0 to 1
  • Choose n trials and per-trial success probability p.
  • Select probability mode: exact P(X=k), cumulative P(X<=k)/P(X>=k), or range P(a<=X<=b).
  • Compute PMF terms and sum over selected k range.
  • Review PMF/CDF table and chart to validate how probability mass is distributed.
Example

Worked example: n=10, p=0.5, at-most k=3

  1. 1 Compute PMF for k=0,1,2,3
  2. 2 Sum P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)+P(X=3)
  3. 3 Result = 0.171875

The cumulative probability P(X<=3) is 0.171875.

How
  1. Enter trials n and success probability p.
  2. Select exact, at-most, at-least, or range mode.
  3. Enter k (and optional upper bound for range mode).
  4. Read probability output and use PMF/CDF table plus chart for context.
Avoid
  • Using k larger than n.
  • Setting p outside zero to one range.
  • Applying binomial model to dependent trials.
  • Confusing exact P(X=k) with cumulative P(X<=k) or P(X>=k).
FAQ
Do trials need to be independent?

Yes, binomial assumptions require independent trials with constant p.

Can p be zero or one?

Yes, edge cases are allowed and produce deterministic probabilities.

Does this return cumulative probability?

Yes. Choose at-most, at-least, or range mode to sum PMF terms over the selected k interval.

What do PMF and CDF rows mean?

PMF is P(X=k) for one success count, while CDF is P(X<=k) accumulated from zero up to k.

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